Automated Forex Trading

Automated Forex Trading 2024 Wk36 (Sep 1-7)

The reports are for Toraripi now. (The previous results include Triauto as well as Toraripi. until 21st week of 2023.)

Status of This Week

This week's Toraripi

  • JPY 25k
    • There was almost no volatility this week.
    • My concerns from last week has come true...
https://twitter.com/kuroneko_mfr/status/1832179762695131245

Goals

  • As my way of thinking has gradually changed, I would like to pursue the profit goals including discretionary trading, etc., rather than increasing profit margin of automated trading (i.e. Toraripi) only.
  • I would like to keep the current profit margin for the Automated trading for safe operation.
    • As the biggest part of my assets is in the Automated trading, I would like to avoid risky settings for a good sleep.
    • I will add additional traps while watching how the deposit increases。
  • The goals listed until 2023 have been moved to the Gross Assets page.

After quitting the company and starting the life of FIRE, I will do nothing if I don't set a specific goal. Thus I set a goal. I will whip myself!

Dashboards

Position Summary of Traripi

マネースクエア


Establishment calendar of Traripi

Latest Settings

I am summarizing the settings of active currency pairs for my own reference.

In addition, I am learning every day by looking at the settings of many people who publish information on the Internet (regardless of the amount of investments). Therefore, I am also sharing my settings.

(I would like to give back to everyone who disclose their information.)

However, I cannot guarantee the performance with my settings. So please invest at your own risk.

Updates of The Week

  • There is NO update for this week.
  • The change shown below is not for this week, but it is also deleted for now.
    • EUR/GBP
      • The Buy traps have been deleted for now as the rate may drop for the time being. When the rate goes up, I intend to set them up again at an appropriate timing.
    • AUD/NZD (Buy)
      • Deleted traps for 1.0~1.045 temporary.
    • NZD/USD (Sell)
      • Deleted traps for 0.75~0.90 temporary.
    • USD/CAD (Sell)
      • Deleted traps for 1.4~1.5 temporary.
    • GBP/USD (Sell)
      • Deleted traps for 1.4~1.5 temporary.

Active Currency Pairs

There are no cross-yen currency pairs currently.

Immediately after the start of Toraripi, I had set the selling of CAD/JPY, but while the yen was swinging in the direction of extreme depreciation, I was hit by a negative swap, resulting in a drastic loss cut (the article in the link is in Japanese only).

I would like to participate in cross-yen currency pairs again when the yen swings in the direction of appreciation and it becomes possible to enter by buying, or when the yen raises interest rates and negative swaps are no longer a concern.

Operational Policy

  • Avoid settings that make me nervous and unable to sleep. NOT to be ejected from the Forex market.
    • Avoid loss cutting even in the worst case simulation
    • When adding traps or making changes, iterate simulation always.
  • Avoid extremely high negative swap points
    • Given the risk of holding positions for a long period of time, I am avoiding extremely high negative swap points.
    • I am trading currency pairs with some negative swaps, but it is desirable to have a little positive swap points overall.


EUR/GBP

I love this currency pair as the swap point is currently positive for selling and I feel comfortable even if I hold the positions for a long time.

I deleted the Buy traps for now as the rate may drop for the time being. When the rate goes up, I intend to set the traps again at an appropriate timing.

AUD/NZD

NZD/USD

To be honest, so far the volatility of this currency pair has not been very high, but I will continue to invest from the perspective of risk diversification.

For those who will start Toraripi newly, I think it is good to start with the other currency pairs.

USD/CAD

GBP/USD

Settings under Consideration

CAD/JPY - Withdrawn temporarily

CAD/JPY has become the biggest loss cut in my history.

I suffered from negative swaps for a long time, but when it fell below 100 yen in mid Dec, 2022, I did a loss cut.

I think the next entry point will be when the JPY becomes stronger and it is easy to buy it.

EUR/USD - Withdrawn temporarily

I would like to set selling to avoid negative swaps, but it is not the time and I have temporary withdrawn from this currency pair.

I think the entry by selling should exceed 1.1. Ideally, above 1.2.

I will continue to check the chart and hope to resume when I have a good entry point. At that time, I would like to inform you here.

EUR/AUD

This pair is not for Traripi but for Triauto.

To avoid negative swaps with buying, I am waiting for the timing when I can enter from selling.

I see the border between selling and buying at about 1.55. I am thinking the entry with selling will be made after exceeding 1.6.

(Currently, the rate exceeds 1.6, but I am still monitoring the situation. The EUR interest rate is approaching it of the AUD, and if holding a short position for a long time, I am not sure if the positive swap will be maintained depending on the future interest rate situation.)

AUD/USD

When introducing NZD/USD, I also compared it with AUD/USD as they have close correlation. As AUD/USD has relatively high negative swap points for buying, the entry with selling was preferred, but it was not the timing.

Even if the correlation with NZD/USD is close, the countries are different from Australia and New Zealand, and it will diversify the risk somewhat.

Extra: GBP/AUD

As GBP/AUD is not handled by Traripi or Triauto, it is easily traded with automated trading. However, swap points are relatively low for both buying and selling as both currencies have similar interest, it is easy to trade this currency pair. To enter from selling with positive swap points, I am watching if it falls more. If the price is below 1.7, I will start to buy this pair.

I am thinking to use DMM or OANDA for this trade.

Extra: USD/CHF

Please see the latest USD?CHF post in this category for the latest status. As a profit has been made, I prepared a separate page.

Milestones

JPY 10k

The profit amount of Automated trading (excl. discretionary trading) reached JPY 10k! 🎉

(The total profit incl. discretionary trading is JPY 13.3k now.)

Almost 1 year and 10 months passed since I started Automated Forex trading with Toraripi in the end of March, 2022.

As I did some trial and error in 2022, the most part of profit was made in 2023. However, as the earning pace is getting calming down, I will think about the setting more.

https://twitter.com/kuroneko_mfr/status/1751032428494561413

JPY 10k (only with Toraripi)

https://twitter.com/kuroneko_mfr/status/1791701180583907404

-Automated Forex Trading